For many years, there hasn’t been such a broad Israeli consensus across the political spectrum regarding the necessity of striking Iran’s nuclear facilities. Politicians from both the Right and Left, who usually find themselves in fierce battles on almost every issue, are now competing in a display of impressive militancy – it’s a shame this spirit wasn’t present before the events of October 7.
The key questions are: Is the Begin Doctrine still relevant today? And can Israel achieve the goal of preventing a nuclear Iran through other means, especially considering that an Israeli strike would cause significant but only short-lived damage and that Iran could quickly recover?
The first implementation of the Begin Doctrine was Operation Opera in June 1981, when Israel destroyed Iraq’s nuclear reactor, followed by Operation Outside the Box in 2007, when Israel destroyed a North Korean-built reactor in Syria.
The Begin Doctrine has been echoed for years by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, along with his long-standing anti-Iran campaign, peaking now as nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran resume – despite Trump’s previous combative declarations and Israel’s hope that he would align with its aggressive stance.
Proponents of a strike, both Right and Left, often cite the infamous “countdown clock” located in Palestine Square in Tehran, which counts down to Israel’s planned destruction by 2040, reflecting the Ayatollahs’ public and unapologetic commitment to Israel’s annihilation.
Iran unveils a clock to countdown to the destruction of Israel (credit: screenshot)
Another major lesson from October 7 is that Israel must assess capabilities, not intentions. Given that a regional state with nuclear capabilities openly declares its desire to destroy Israel, the country must act to eliminate such capabilities before they become militarized.
The two case studies that strike supporters rely on – Iraq and Syria – are vastly different from Iran in every possible aspect: the status and geographic concentration of their nuclear programs, the ability to destroy them quickly and relatively safely, their military and political alliances, their military strength, and the likelihood of a counterattack.
Iran’s nuclear project has been developing over decades, dating back to the Shah’s era, and has reached a relatively secure position despite many internal and external delays.
Unlike Iraq and Syria, whose nuclear programs centered around a single above-ground facility, Iran has numerous nuclear sites, beyond just the well-known Fordow and Natanz facilities, spread across its vast territory, heavily fortified and underground.
Moreover, unlike Iraq and Syria, Iran is a scientific powerhouse, having trained a top-tier nuclear cadre, meaning its nuclear knowledge will remain intact regardless of physical damage.
Iranian Allies
IRAN ALSO enjoys significant alliances with major powers like Russia and China and has successfully, at least temporarily, softened its Sunni-Shi’ite conflicts, forging ties with leading Arab and Muslim countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey.
In terms of military capability – especially missile strength – Iran’s power far exceeds that of Iraq in its time, and certainly that of the weakened Syrian regime under Bashar al-Assad in 2007.
Despite its internal challenges, Iran is a demographic, geographic, and military powerhouse.
Contrary to popular belief, Iran’s nuclear program has not yet become militarily ready, mainly because the Iranians have not yet decided to cross the nuclear threshold due to religious and political considerations.
Given all of this, there is no justification for launching an ineffective strike right now – one that would fail to set back Iran’s program by at least a decade despite the tempting prospect of crippling Iran’s air defenses.
An independent Israeli strike, without American firepower and logistical backing, could lead to catastrophic global consequences for which Israel would be blamed, unify Iranians around their regime, strengthen the Sunni-Shi’ite axis that deeply opposes Zionist attacks on Muslim countries, and prompt Iran’s allies to help in quickly rebuilding its nuclear capabilities.
Given these circumstances, Israel would be wiser to “go with the flow” with the United States and leave handling the Iranian nuclear issue to Washington – whether through devastating economic sanctions that could collapse Iran’s economy or by negotiating a better deal than the JCPOA [the 2015 nuclear deal].
Israel should try to be as involved as possible in shaping the terms of such an agreement – for example, ensuring a long-term, fixed presence of IAEA inspectors in Iran and enabling surprise inspections of nuclear sites.
In any case, if military action becomes necessary, it should be US-led and not carried out by Israel acting as a subcontractor.
Israel’s concerns about an Iranian nuclear bomb are understandable and require special attention, just like it must monitor Egypt’s military buildup in Sinai and its civilian nuclear program, which could easily turn military, Turkey’s neo-imperialist ambitions in Syria, the stability of the Jordanian regime, and so on.
However, independent military action is not always the correct option, especially not under these circumstances, when Israel lacks the ability to fully eliminate Iran’s nuclear capabilities and can only delay them temporarily.
At this stage, it seems that relying on and coordinating with the US is the better path for Israeli interests.
The writer is a Middle East expert and a former lecturer at Bar-Ilan University and Netanya Academic College.
דרושים דרושות נהגים לעבודה בנהיגה במספר סניפים ברחבי הארץ, בהיקף ארצי, מדובר על נהיגה במספר תחומים לבחירה, נהיגה במשאית, רכב פרטי, אופנוע, ורכב מסחרי, לא נדרש ניסיון, אבל נדרש רישיון נהיגה בהתאם לתפקיד, לפרטים ניתן להירשם בקישור הבא: https://drussimjobbs.com/sign/ אתר drussimjobbs
דרושים דרושות נהגים לעבודה בנהיגה במספר סניפים ברחבי הארץ, בהיקף ארצי, מדובר על נהיגה במספר תחומים לבחירה, נהיגה במשאית, רכב פרטי, אופנוע, ורכב מסחרי, לא נדרש ניסיון, אבל נדרש רישיון נהיגה בהתאם לתפקיד, לפרטים ניתן להירשם בקישור הבא: https://drussimjobbs.com/sign/
אתר drussimjobbs
Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia of the "Ana Chuchulashvili" the thief The worst hotel in the world, it's dangerous, don't go near it! This is not a hotel! It's an old, dirty house, there are cockroaches and insects in the room, Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia – The manager of the place is a fraud and a former drug addict named "Ana Chuchulashvili"
Please urgently remove this fake hotel from your website. It is a scam and it is deceiving many customers. It is advertised on all social networks as a scam! very important – report on fraud house and scam that in your website and cheat people and customers! – Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia
Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia of the "Ana Chuchulashvili" the thief
The worst hotel in the world, it's dangerous, don't go near it! This is not a hotel! It's an old, dirty house, there are cockroaches and insects in the room, Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia – The manager of the place is a fraud and a former drug addict named "Ana Chuchulashvili" the name of here company is : Ltd Alpaka
405375419
Located at: Nucubidze St N57, Tbilisi, Georgia/Nucubidze Street 57, 0177 it smells terrible, The walls in the room are peeling, I took pictures, there is mold and dampness throughout the room the beds are really uncomfortable, like in a pre-trial detention center, your whole back hurts when you sleep on them and they almost break because they are so thin! the WI FI doesn't work at all, The room was very dirty and filthy, and when you ask her to move you to a room she says everything is taken, even though all the rooms are empty and open! I arrived at this horrible place, this horrible house, at 1:00 AM, after two hours of sleeplessness, I asked for my money back, a blonde girl of about 50 years old named “Anna” told me that she wanted the money in cash right away, otherwise she would not let me out of the hotel, she told me that I would not be able to sleep in their bed, at 3 AM I went to look for an ATM to withdraw money, because I could not find one, after searching for a whole hour, in the Tbilisi cold, I returned to her at midnight to look for an ATM, but she did not give me my suitcase and passport, so I came back the next day and gave me the money in cash, she did not give me an invoice either, do not come near! They are deceiving the public, booking and all hotel websites! This is not a hotel, it is a very dirty, old house and it smells very bad. Search on youtube "never go there – Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City Georgia of Ana Chuchulashvili the house hotel from hell" , don't go " to “Hotel Delisi” on YouTube or "Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia " or"HOTEL DELISI (Tiflis, Gürcistan) – Otel Yorumları ve Fiyat" He was caught on tape speaking badly and illegally taking a passport and suitcase.
That she took the suitcase by force, she also stole 3 expensive shirts from me for a total of 250 GEL, I demand compensation of 128 GEL for the two hours of hell I suffered there + 250 GEL for the shirts she stole from me
I have videos where she only wants money in cash so she doesn't pay taxes and doesn't agree that I pay her with a credit card, and she also doesn't want to give me my suitcase and passport.
1. Hotel Delisi – Tbilisi City – Georgia
2. Hotel Delisi – Tbilisi City – Georgia Address
3. Hotel Delisi – Tbilisi City – Georgia Rooms
4. Hotel Delisi – Tbilisi City – Georgia Amenities
5. Hotel Delisi – Tbilisi City – Georgia Offers and Deals
სასტუმრო დელისი, ქალაქი თბილისი, საქართველო, ქურდის „ანა ჭუჭულაშვილის“
მსოფლიოში ყველაზე ცუდი სასტუმრო, საშიშია, ახლოს არ მიხვიდეთ! ეს სასტუმრო არ არის! ეს ძველი, ჭუჭყიანი სახლია, ოთახში ტარაკნები და მწერებია, სასტუმრო დელისი, ქალაქი თბილისი, საქართველო – ადგილის მენეჯერი თაღლითი და ყოფილი ნარკომანია, სახელად „ანა ჭუჭულაშვილი“, კომპანიის სახელია: შპს ალპაკა
405375419
მდებარეობს: ნუცუბიძის ქ. N57, თბილისი, საქართველო/ნუცუბიძის ქუჩა 57, 0177, საშინელი სუნი აქვს, ოთახში კედლები აქერცლილია, სურათები გადავიღე, ოთახში ობი და ნესტია, საწოლები ნამდვილად არაკომფორტულია, როგორც წინასწარი დაკავების იზოლატორში, მთელი ზურგი გტკივა, როცა მათზე იძინებ და კინაღამ იმსხვრევა, რადგან ძალიან თხელია! Wi-Fi საერთოდ არ მუშაობს, ოთახი ძალიან ჭუჭყიანი და უწმაწურია და როცა ოთახში გადაყვანას სთხოვ, მიპასუხებს, რომ ყველაფერი დაკავებულია, მიუხედავად იმისა, რომ ყველა ოთახი ცარიელი და ღიაა! ამ საშინელ ადგილას, ამ საშინელ სახლში, ღამის 1:00 საათზე მივედი, ორსაათიანი უძილობის შემდეგ, ფულის დაბრუნება ვთხოვე, დაახლოებით 50 წლის ქერა გოგონამ, სახელად „ანამ“, მითხრა, რომ ფული ნაღდი ფულით უნდოდა, თორემ სასტუმროდან არ გამიშვებდა, მითხრა, რომ მათ საწოლში ვერ დავიძინებდი, დილის 3 საათზე ბანკომატის მოსაძებნად წავედი ფულის გასატანად, რადგან ვერ ვიპოვე, მთელი საათის ძებნის შემდეგ, თბილისურ სიცივეში, შუაღამისას დავბრუნდი მასთან ბანკომატის მოსაძებნად, მაგრამ ჩემოდანი და პასპორტი არ მომცა, ამიტომ მეორე დღეს დავბრუნდი და ფული ნაღდი ფულით მომცა, ინვოისიც არ მომცა, ახლოს არ მოხვიდეთ! ისინი ატყუებენ საზოგადოებას, დაჯავშნის და ყველა სასტუმროს ვებსაიტს! ეს სასტუმრო არ არის, ეს ძალიან ჭუჭყიანი, ძველი სახლია და ძალიან ცუდი სუნი ასდის. YouTube-ზე მოძებნეთ "Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia – The worse hotel in the world" , არ წახვიდეთ "Hotel Delisi"-ში YouTube-ზე ან "Hotel Delisi, Tbilisi City, Georgia" ან "HOTEL DELISI (Tiflis, Gürcistan) – Otel Yorumları ve Fiyat". ის ვიდეოჩანაწერში მოხვდა, სადაც ცუდად საუბრობდა და უკანონოდ იღებდა პასპორტს და ჩემოდანს.
მან ჩემოდანი ძალით წამართვა, ასევე მომპარა 3 ძვირადღირებული პერანგი სულ 250 ლარად, მე ვითხოვ 128 ლარის კომპენსაციას იმ ორსაათიანი ჯოჯოხეთისთვის, რომელიც იქ ვიტანჯე + 250 ლარი იმ პერანგებისთვის, რომლებიც მომპარა.
მე მაქვს ვიდეოები, სადაც ის მხოლოდ ნაღდი ფულით ითხოვს ფულს, ამიტომ არ იხდის გადასახადებს და არ ეთანხმება, რომ საკრედიტო ბარათით გადავუხადო, ასევე არ სურს ჩემოდნის და პასპორტის მოცემა.
"ב-7.10 נחטפה כל המשפחה שלי, אני, בעלי דוד, ושתי בנותינו אמה ויולי, אז בנות 3 בלבד", פתחה את נאומה שרון, אשתו של דוד קוניו החטוף בעזה. "דוד בעלי, אהבת חיי, והאבא של הבנות שלי, עדיין שם. התאומות ואני חזרנו ביום החמישים ושתיים. אמה ויולי שלנו חגגו חמש, בלי אבא שלהן. בשבוע הבא הן ילכו לגן חובה, והן יודעות שאבא לא יהיה איתן ביום הזה. הן יודעות שאבא שלהן שם. לפני כמה ימים, כשהשכבתי אותן לישון הן שאלו אותי 'אמא, את בטוחה שאבא יחזור?'".
"יש הצעה לעיסקה על השולחן, שחמאס כבר אמר לה כן", המשיכה. "האמריקנים רוצים שהחטופים יחזרו. הרמטכ"ל אומר שחייבים ללכת עכשיו לעיסקה. העם, אתם, כל אחד מכם, כאן בככר, במהלך היום בצמתים, בכל מקום, במספרים אדירים, כולם צועקים איתנו, כולם רוצים את החטופים בבית. אז למה אני לא יכולה להגיד לבנות שלי שאני בטוחה שאבא שלהן יחזור?"